Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000484 0.000523 0.000564 0.000609 0.000658 0.000709 0.000767
2026-01-11 0.000427 0.000482 0.000542 0.000610 0.000688 0.000774 0.000874
2026-01-18 0.000387 0.000452 0.000525 0.000613 0.000716 0.000832 0.000975
2026-01-25 0.000354 0.000426 0.000509 0.000612 0.000736 0.000882 0.001065
2026-02-01 0.000322 0.000398 0.000487 0.000602 0.000743 0.000913 0.001132
2026-02-08 0.000296 0.000375 0.000470 0.000593 0.000750 0.000943 0.001198
2026-02-15 0.000275 0.000355 0.000454 0.000586 0.000757 0.000972 0.001264
2026-02-22 0.000257 0.000338 0.000441 0.000580 0.000764 0.001001 0.001327
2026-03-01 0.000240 0.000323 0.000428 0.000574 0.000770 0.001027 0.001388
2026-03-08 0.000224 0.000306 0.000413 0.000563 0.000770 0.001044 0.001436
2026-03-15 0.000211 0.000292 0.000400 0.000555 0.000771 0.001062 0.001487
2026-03-22 0.000195 0.000275 0.000382 0.000538 0.000759 0.001062 0.001511
2026-03-29 0.000182 0.000260 0.000368 0.000527 0.000757 0.001077 0.001560
2026-04-05 0.000173 0.000251 0.000361 0.000526 0.000769 0.001113 0.001642
2026-04-12 0.000165 0.000244 0.000356 0.000528 0.000784 0.001153 0.001731
2026-04-19 0.000157 0.000236 0.000350 0.000527 0.000794 0.001188 0.001813
2026-04-26 0.000148 0.000225 0.000339 0.000517 0.000793 0.001204 0.001867
2026-05-03 0.000139 0.000216 0.000329 0.000510 0.000794 0.001222 0.001926
2026-05-10 0.000132 0.000207 0.000321 0.000504 0.000796 0.001243 0.001989
2026-05-17 0.000126 0.000200 0.000313 0.000499 0.000798 0.001265 0.002053
2026-05-24 0.000119 0.000193 0.000306 0.000493 0.000800 0.001285 0.002116
2026-05-31 0.000113 0.000184 0.000296 0.000485 0.000796 0.001295 0.002162
2026-06-07 0.000107 0.000177 0.000288 0.000477 0.000795 0.001309 0.002214